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中国临床药理学与治疗学 ›› 2023, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (11): 1227-1234.doi: 10.12092/j.issn.1009-2501.2023.11.004

• 基础研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

血糖、血钙对急性重症胰腺炎患者预后影响的交互作用及预测效能研究

黄凯歌,许勤华,王 伟   

  1. 南阳市中心医院 急诊内科,南阳  473000,河南
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-01 修回日期:2023-08-21 出版日期:2023-11-26 发布日期:2023-11-10
  • 作者简介:黄凯歌,女,硕士研究生,主治医师,研究方向:急诊内科。 E-mail:nycheckout@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    河南省医学科技攻关计划(联合共建)项目(LHGJ20191542)

Interaction effect and predictive efficacy of blood glucose and blood calcium on the prognosis of patients with acute severe pancreatitis

HUANG Kaige, XU Qinhua, WANG Wei   

  1. Emergency Internal Medicine Department of Nanyang Central Hospital, Nanyang 473000, Henan, China
  • Received:2023-06-01 Revised:2023-08-21 Online:2023-11-26 Published:2023-11-10

摘要:

目的:探讨血糖、血钙对急性重症胰腺炎(SAP)患者预后影响的交互作用,并分析其对预后的预测效能。方法:选取2019年9月至2022年10月本院收治的107例SAP患者为研究对象,根据28 d内预后情况分为不良组、良好组。比较两组治疗前、治疗3 d后、治疗7 d后血糖、血钙、改良Marshall评分、床旁急性胰腺炎严重度评分(BISAP),并分析血糖、血钙与改良Marshall评分、BISAP评分相关性。比较不同血钙患者血糖水平。Cox回归分析预后的相关影响因素。使用交互作用系数γ、相对危险度(RR)值分析血糖、血钙对预后影响的交互作用是否存在及其类型。受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析血糖、血钙对预后的预测效能。结果:不良组治疗后血糖、改良Marshall评分、BISAP评分高于良好组,血钙低于良好组(P<0.05);治疗3 d后、治疗7 d后血糖与改良Marshall评分、BISAP评分呈正相关,而血钙与之相反(P<0.05);血钙降低患者血糖水平高于血钙正常患者(P<0.05);血钙降低对血糖升高的效应具有正向交互作用(P<0.05);治疗3 d后、治疗7 d后血糖联合血钙预测预后的AUC大于单独指标预测(P<0.05)。结论:SAP患者血糖、血钙与病情严重程度有关,血糖、血钙对SAP患者预后的预测存在交互作用,联合检测其水平对SAP患者预后具有一定预测效能。

关键词: 急性重症胰腺炎, 血糖, 血钙, 预后, 交互作用, 预测

Abstract:

AIM: To investigate the interactive effects of blood glucose and blood calcium on the prognostic impact of patients with acute severe pancreatitis (SAP) and to analyze their predictive efficacy on prognosis. METHODS: One hundred and seven patients with SAP admitted to our hospital from September 2019 to October 2022 were selected for the study and were divided into poor and good groups according to their prognosis within 28 d. The blood glucose, blood calcium, modified Marshall score, bedside acute pancreatitis severity score  (BISAP) were compared between the two groups before treatment, after 3 d of treatment, and after 7 d of treatment, and the correlation between blood glucose, blood calcium and modified Marshall score and BISAP score was analyzed. The blood glucose levels of patients with different blood calcium were compared. Cox regression was used to analyze the factors associated with prognosis. The presence and type of interaction between blood glucose and blood calcium on prognosis were analyzed using the interaction coefficient γ and relative risk (RR) values. The subject operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to analyze the predictive efficacy of blood glucose and blood calcium on prognosis. RESULTS: The blood glucose, modified Marshall score, and BISAP score of the adverse group after treatment were higher than those of the good group, while the blood calcium was lower than that of the good group (P<0.05). After 3 and 7 days of treatment, blood glucose was positively correlated with improved Marshall score and BISAP score (P<0.05). The blood glucose level in patients with decreased blood calcium was higher than that in patients with normal blood calcium (P<0.05). The decrease of blood calcium had positive interaction with the increase of blood glucose (P<0.05). After 3 and 7 days of treatment, the AUC of blood glucose combined with blood calcium was greater than that predicted by single index (P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Blood glucose and blood calcium are related to the severity of the disease in SAP patients. There is an interaction between blood glucose and blood calcium in predicting the prognosis of SAP patients. The combined detection of blood glucose and blood calcium has a certain predictive effect on the prognosis of SAP patients.

Key words: acute severe pancreatitis, blood sugar, blood calcium, prognosis, interaction, forecast

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