Welcome to Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics,Today is Chinese

Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics ›› 2013, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (3): 286-289.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Explore on the effects of General Friedman's Urn Model on power in clinical trial through simulation experiments

YU Li-li1, BU Xiao-dong2, GU Xin1, DU Qian1, XIA Jie-lai3   

  1. 1Department of Information Technology
    2Department of Science Research and Training, the General Hospital of Jinan Military Command, Jinan 250031, Shandong, China
    3Department of Health Statistics, Faculty of Preventative Medicine, the Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an 710032, Shaanxi, China
  • Received:2012-04-28 Revised:2012-11-30 Online:2013-03-26 Published:2013-04-02

Abstract: Urn model is a most commonly used randomization method of adaptive design. In this article, with some true data from the clinical trial of a new drug treating oral ulcer, the generalized Friedman's urn model was used to calculate the allocation proportions between the two treatments groups, and simultaneously, the influence of the allocation proportions on the power of statistical test were explored trough computer simulation experiments. It was showed in the results that the effects of response adaptive randomization on power was not as serious as we assumed, because the allocation proportions between the two treatments groups is usually less than 3∶1 for most clinical trials. We hope this study can provide some references for the application of urn model in practical clinical trials.

Key words: Adaptive design, Urn model, Simulation examination

CLC Number: